NFL Fantasy Football Insights: Week 3 Predictions and Surprises

As the NFL season progresses, fantasy football managers face a unique set of challenges and opportunities. Each week brings its own narrative, filled with unexpected performances and pivotal decisions. This week, we delve into key players and emerging trends that could shape your fantasy roster.

Ja’Marr Chase: A Top Fantasy Player Despite QB Changes

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase was a highly sought-after pick in most fantasy drafts this year, following an impressive 2024 season where he recorded 127 receptions for 1,708 yards and 17 touchdowns. His performance made him the top flex-eligible scorer in PPR formats, second only to Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. However, the Bengals now face a significant challenge: their star quarterback, Joe Burrow, may not return this season after suffering an injury.

Backup QB Jake Browning‘s Potential

In Burrow’s absence, backup quarterback Jake Browning steps into the spotlight. Browning, who previously led the Washington Huskies to notable success, including a sixth-place finish in the 2016 Heisman Trophy voting, has experience that could benefit Chase. During his brief stint as a starter last season, Browning averaged 20 fantasy points per game, ranking among the top 10 fantasy quarterbacks in five of his last six games.

Despite Browning’s potential, Chase’s performance during Browning’s previous starts raises questions. While he had a standout game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, his overall production during that period was inconsistent. Nevertheless, Chase remains a top-tier option in fantasy football, and his ability to adapt to Browning’s style could keep him in the WR1 conversation.

Justin Herbert: A Shift in Offensive Strategy

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has consistently been a top fantasy performer, finishing as a top-10 fantasy QB in his rookie season and second overall in his second year. However, with the arrival of head coach Jim Harbaugh, the Chargers’ offensive strategy appears to be shifting towards a more run-focused approach.

Herbert’s potential to throw for 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns may be hindered by this new direction. Fantasy managers should consider acquiring rookie running back Omarion Hampton and veteran Najee Harris to capitalize on this shift.

Jalen Hurts: Balancing Rushing and Passing

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has been a dual-threat player, often leading to predictions that he might finish the season with more rushing touchdowns than passing ones. Last season, he recorded 18 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. As the season progresses, expect Hurts to find a better balance, especially with a talented receiving corps at his disposal. However, it remains uncertain whether he will surpass 3,000 passing yards or 20 touchdown passes.

J.K. Dobbins: A Late-Blooming Star

J.K. Dobbins, now with the Denver Broncos, is a player to watch as he aims for his first 1,000-yard rushing season. After signing late in the summer, Dobbins has shown flashes of his potential, including a strong performance against the Chargers last season. Despite injury concerns, he is currently on pace for 1,190 rushing yards, making him a valuable asset for fantasy managers.

Other Running Back Insights

• Ashton Jeanty of the Las Vegas Raiders has struggled to find running room but remains a player to watch. His volume is expected to increase, and a breakout performance could be on the horizon.
• In New England, rookie TreVeyon Henderson is showing promise, but veteran Rhamondre Stevenson is likely to see more playing time due to his superior pass-blocking skills. Stevenson’s past performance, including 69 receptions last season, makes him a reliable option until further notice.

Zay Flowers: A Rising WR1

Zay Flowers of the Baltimore Ravens has emerged as a top fantasy wide receiver, currently ranking fifth among his peers with 43.0 points. His target share has been impressive, with quarterback Lamar Jackson targeting him on 20 of 48 passes. While it may be unrealistic to expect Flowers to maintain a 42% target share, even a 30% share would solidify his status as a top-10 fantasy WR.

The Future of Mark Andrews

In contrast, tight end Mark Andrews has struggled, with only two receptions on four targets so far this season. His regression raises concerns, especially with the potential return of tight end Isaiah Likely, which could further diminish Andrews’ target opportunities.

Conclusion: Navigating the Fantasy Landscape

As the NFL season unfolds, fantasy football managers must remain agile, adapting to injuries, shifts in team strategy, and emerging player performances. Key players like Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Herbert, J.K. Dobbins, and Zay Flowers are central to this evolving narrative. By staying informed and making strategic decisions, managers can position themselves for success in the weeks to come.